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1. Basic Concepts & Causes of Climate Change
- Definition: Long-term shift in global climate patterns, primarily attributed to human activities.
- Primary Cause: Enhanced Greenhouse Effect.
- A natural process where atmospheric gases trap heat (infrared radiation), warming the Earth. Without it, the average temperature would be -18°C.
- First postulated by Joseph Fourier in 1824.
- Human activities intensify this effect by increasing the concentration of greenhouse gases.
- Key Drivers (Anthropogenic):
- Increasing Atmospheric Carbon: Excessive burning of fossil fuels, explosion in the number of automobiles.
- Reducing Carbon Absorption: Heavy deforestation.
- Other Factors: Greenhouse gases, depletion of the ozone layer, and general pollution.
- Key Indicator:
- The global average temperature has risen by 1.8°F (0.8°C) over the last century.
2. Greenhouse Gases (GHGs)
- Definition: Atmospheric gases that absorb and emit infrared radiation, trapping heat.
- Major Greenhouse Gases:
- Carbon Dioxide (CO₂): The primary contributor to global warming after water vapor, due to its abundance.
- Methane (CH₄): A much more potent GHG than CO₂ (up to 86 times more powerful over 20 years).
- Nitrous Oxide (N₂O)
- Water Vapor (H₂O)
- Ozone (O₃)
- Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)
- Gases that are NOT Greenhouse Gases:
- Oxygen (O₂)
- Argon
- Oxides of Sulphur / Sulphur Dioxide (causes acid rain)
- Nitrogen Oxide
- Hydrogen
- Dual Nature of CO₂: Beneficial for photosynthesis (essential for food chains) but harmful as the primary anthropogenic greenhouse gas.
Sources of Major GHGs
- Carbon Dioxide (CO₂):
- Thermal power stations (fossil fuels).
- Deforestation and forest burning.
- Methane (CH₄):
- Largest Source: Agricultural activities (cattle digestion, manure management).
- Rice fields, coal mining, wetlands, landfills, natural gas systems.
- Nitrous Oxide (N₂O):
- Waterlogged paddy fields, use of nitrogen-based fertilizers.
- Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs):
- Refrigerators and air conditioning systems (not a primary auto emission).
- Gases from Biomass Burning: Burning crop residue releases Carbon Monoxide (CO), Methane (CH₄), Ozone (O₃), and Sulphur Dioxide (SO₂).
3. Impacts & Consequences of Climate Change
- Environmental:
- Melting Ice: Melting of glaciers and polar ice caps.
- Sea-Level Rise: Rising at ~3 mm/year; projections of up to 1 meter by 2070 AD, threatening coral islands and low-lying countries (e.g., Fiji, Netherlands).
- Ecosystem Damage: Bleaching of coral reefs, widespread coral mortality at >3°C warming.
- Carbon Cycle Disruption: The terrestrial biosphere could become a net carbon source at >3°C warming.
- Methane Release: Warming could trigger release of methane from Arctic tundra and seafloor hydrates.
- Biological & Ecological:
- Shifts in species habitats and spread of diseases (e.g., mosquitoes).
- Disruption of ecological synchrony (e.g., earlier flowering of mango trees).
- 16-30% of known species face extinction with significant ecosystem transformation.
- Agricultural & Social:
- Farming is the human activity most affected.
- Alters water availability, reduces soil moisture/fertility/yields, increases soil salinity.
- Impacts on food security can lead to increased social tension.
- Human Health: Adverse effects due to extreme weather and disease spread.
4. International Agreements & Initiatives
- UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC):
- Opened for signature at the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro.
- Entered into force on March 21, 1994. Ratified by 197 countries.
- Kyoto Protocol (1997):
- Came into force in 2005.
- Goal: Set binding targets to reduce emissions by 5.2% below 1990 levels.
- Mechanisms: Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), Joint Implementation (JI), Emissions Trading.
- Not related to: Saving water or primarily dealing with ozone depletion.
- Paris Agreement (COP 21, 2015):
- Held in Paris, France.
- Goal: Limit warming to well below 2°C, pursuing 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
- Finance: Developed countries committed to mobilizing $100 billion/year by 2020 for developing nations.
- Other Protocols:
- Montreal Protocol: Protects the Ozone Layer.
- Cartagena Protocol: Related to Biosafety (living modified organisms).
- Nagoya Protocol: Access to genetic resources and benefit-sharing.
- Stockholm Convention: Deals with Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs).
- Other Initiatives:
- New York Declaration on Forests (2014): Voluntary pledge to halve forest loss by 2020 and end it by 2030. India is not a signatory.
- Climate and Clean Air Coalition (CCAC): Voluntary partnership to reduce short-lived climate pollutants (methane, black carbon).
- Earth Hour: WWF initiative (not UN) starting in Sydney, Australia (2007). A symbolic lights-off event.
- Asia-Pacific Partnership: Members consume and contribute 48% of global energy/GHGs. Supports Kyoto Protocol.
- Global Climate Change Alliance (GCCA): An initiative of the European Union.
5. Mitigation Strategies & Economic Measures
- Net-Zero Goal:
- Concept: Balancing GHG emissions with absorption/removal from the atmosphere by 2050 (carbon neutrality), not reducing to absolute zero.
- Mechanisms: Creating carbon sinks (forests), technology for carbon capture and storage.
- Example: Bhutan is a carbon-negative country.
- Carbon Pricing:
- Carbon Tax: A fee on fossil fuels (e.g., Singapore in 2019; New Zealand was first in 2005).
- Carbon Credits (CER): Originated from the Kyoto Protocol. One credit = one ton of CO₂ reduction.
- Price is market-driven, not fixed by UNEP.
- Example: A 10-year agreement (2011) between the World Bank and the Himachal Pradesh government.
- Carbon Sequestration:
- Process: Capturing and storing atmospheric CO₂ in sites like depleted oil/gas reservoirs, coal seams, deep saline formations.
- Agricultural Practices: Contour bunding, relay cropping, zero tillage help store soil carbon.
- Forest-Based Mechanisms (REDD+):
- REDD+: “Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation.”
- Forest Carbon Partnership Facility (FCPF): Launched by the World Bank (2008).
- BioCarbon Fund Initiative (ISFL): Managed by the World Bank.
- Geo-Engineering: Proposals like cloud brightening over the Pacific using seawater.
6. Key Organizations, Research & Metrics
- Organizations & Programs:
- Greenhouse Gas Protocol: Accounting tool by WRI and WBCSD (not a UN initiative).
- CGIAR Research Programs: e.g., Climate-Smart Village Approach (CCAFS). ICRISAT in India is a CGIAR center.
- Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW): WMO program; India does not host a station.
- Deep Carbon Observatory (DCO): Global program to understand Earth’s carbon.
- Metrics & Rankings:
- Carbon Footprint: Total GHGs produced to support human activities.
- Top CO₂ Emitters: China (28%), USA (15%), India (7%), Russia (5%), Japan (3%).
- Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI): Published by Germanwatch. India’s rank improved from 20th (2017) to 10th (2021).
- Scientific Concepts:
- Carbon Fertilization: Increased plant growth from higher CO₂ concentrations.
- Carbon Sinks: Oceans (via phytoplankton) and land plants absorb CO₂.
- Astronomical Theories (Milankovitch Cycles): Natural long-term climate cycles due to changes in Earth’s orbit and tilt.
7. National Actions (India)
- National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC): Released on June 30, 2008.
- Comprises 8 National Missions (e.g., National Solar Mission, National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency). Atomic Energy is not included.
- State Example – Jharkhand:
- Action Plan published in 2013.
- Saraikela Kharaswan is identified as the most climate-sensitive district (2014 report).
- Recognition: Hyderabad was recognized as a Tree City of the World (FAO & Arbor Day Foundation initiative).
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